Forces of Nature - by the numbers!
This might help. For each model, I ran a huge number of simulations vs a target with Armour 5+ and 2 Wounds. Here are the expected outcomes.
Notes:
Attack modifiers: Where legal, I added +1 die to every attack to reflect that most important attacks are made with charge/outnumber/power.
Avg Wnds - how much damage it will deal on average.
Pound - if the unit has Pound/Smash, what’s the % of scoring 3+ hits
Alpha - probability of bringing the target to zero or negative Wounds.
Pts per Dmg - Efficiency. Every X points spent on this model will yield an average of 1 point of damage per turn. The lower, the better.
TTL = Time to Live. How many hits, on average, can this model take before making a Nerve test?
COMMANDERS
Centaur Chief - Melee
Avg Wnds = 1.53
Pound = 78.7%
Alpha = 48.5%
Pts per Dmg = 28.02
TTL = 8.0
Centaur Chief - Melee + Cav
Avg Wnds = 1.78
Pound = 93.9%
Alpha = 57.1%
Pts per Dmg = 24.2
TTL = 8.0
Centaur Chief - Bow
Avg Wnds = 1.3
Alpha = 39.0%
Pts per Dmg = 33.2
TTL = 8.0
Gladewalker Druid - Melee
Avg Wnds = 0.99
Alpha = 26.9%
Pts per Dmg = 40.38
TTL = 6.0
Gladewalker Druid - Lightning Bolt
Avg Wnds = 1.54
Alpha = 47.5%
Pts per Dmg = 26.03
TTL = 6.0
Salamander Veteran
Avg Wnds = 1.27
Alpha = 38.1%
Pts per Dmg = 22.11
TTL = 6.0
WARRIORS
Centaur Bray-Hunter - Melee
Avg Wnds = 0.41
Alpha = 6.0%
Pts per Dmg = 48.47
TTL = 4.0
Centaur Bray-Hunter - Melee + Cav
Avg Wnds = 0.54
Alpha = 9.3%
Pts per Dmg = 36.8
TTL = 4.0
Centaur Bray-Hunter - Bow*
Avg Wnds = 0.8
Alpha = 19.1%
Pts per Dmg = 24.94
TTL = 4.0
*Not including variable Piercing modifier.
Centaur Bray-Strider
Avg Wnds = 1.29
Pound = 60.0%
Alpha = 38.8%
Pts per Dmg = 17.06
TTL = 6.0
Centaur Bray-Strider + Cav
Avg Wnds = 1.54
Pound = 78.6%
Alpha = 48.7%
Pts per Dmg = 14.29
TTL = 6.0
Naiad - Melee
Avg Wnds = 0.8
Alpha = 19.0%
Pts per Dmg = 15.04
TTL = 3.2
Naiad - Harpoon
Avg Wnds = 0.69
Alpha = 13.9%
Pts per Dmg = 17.38
TTL = 3.2
GRUNTS
Centaur Tenderhoof
Avg Wnds = 0.8
Alpha = 19.1%
Pts per Dmg = 18.72
TTL = 4.0
Centaur Tenderhoof + Cav
Avg Wnds = 0.99
Alpha = 26.7%
Pts per Dmg = 15.18
TTL = 4.0
Salamander Unblooded
Avg Wnds = 1.27
Alpha = 37.8%
Pts per Dmg = 8.69
TTL = 4.0
SPELLCASTERS
Druid - Melee
Avg Wnds = 0.8
Alpha = 18.9%
Pts per Dmg = 45.21
TTL = 4.8
Druid - Lightning Bolt
Avg Wnds = 1.47
Alpha = 45.6%
Pts per Dmg = 24.5
TTL = 4.8
Gladewalker Druid - Melee
Avg Wnds = 0.99
Alpha = 26.9%
Pts per Dmg = 40.38
TTL = 6.0
Gladewalker Druid - Lightning Bolt
Avg Wnds = 1.54
Alpha = 47.5%
Pts per Dmg = 26.03
TTL = 6.0
SUPPORT
Naiad Ensnarer
Avg Wnds = 0.81
Alpha = 19.4%
Pts per Dmg = 24.83
TTL = 3.2
Wild Companion
Avg Wnds = 0.8
Alpha = 19.1%
Pts per Dmg = 16.27
TTL = 3.2
LARGE
Earth Elemental
Avg Wnds = 2.06
Pound = 57.5%
Alpha = 63.7%
Pts per Dmg = 17.0
TTL = 16.0
Fire Elemental - Melee
Avg Wnds = 1.05
Alpha = 29.1%
Pts per Dmg = 38.12
TTL = 8.0
Fire Elemental - Elemental Fire
Avg Wnds = 0.8
Alpha = 19.2%
Pts per Dmg = 49.7
TTL = 8.0
Forest Shambler
Avg Wnds = 1.65
Alpha = 51.4%
Pts per Dmg = 20.02
TTL = 24.0
Water Elemental
Avg Wnds = 2.46
Alpha = 73.2%
Pts per Dmg = 12.99
TTL = 10.67